Teams › Big Sky · Compare Southern Utah with another team
Southern Utah
Southern Utah returns 60% of last season's minutes and rates #259 on offense and #304 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -13.5 to +0.8.
Why we have them here
Southern Utah's preseason projection of -6.3 (No. 292 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.2, more than the -3.3 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 273 at the end of 2025-26) adds -1.1, about its neighbours' -1.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.4. It returns 60% of last season's minutes, less than teams ranked near it (69%). The projection leans most on Jaiden Feroah (+3.6), JaJuan Nicholls (+1.7) and Dezhon Hall (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is JaJuan Nicholls, a transfer from Tennessee Tech, at +1.7. Its 80% range, -13.5 to +0.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 56% · Transfer 10% · Freshman 2% · Other newcomer 31%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | Jaiden Feroah | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Southern Utah | 28 | +5.2 | +3.6 |
| 515 | JaJuan Nicholls | F | 6-9 | 2 | Transfer | Tennessee Tech | 21 | +3.4 | +1.7 |
| 2326 | Kai Burdick | C | 7-0 | 2 | Returning | Southern Utah | 13 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| 2840 | Dezhon Hall | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 4 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| 2913 | Rashaad Davis | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3375 | Chase Degraffenried | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3375 | Dylan Sanders | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 | |
| 3541 | Jalik Nicholls | F | 6-6 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.2 | -0.4 | |
| 3559 | Anthony Breland | G | 6-2 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.2 | -0.4 | |
| 3618 | Jordan Brown | G | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.1 | -0.4 | |
| 3694 | Juok Riak | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.3 | -0.4 | |
| 3861 | DJ Smith | F | 6-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 7 | -2.4 | -0.4 | |
| 3895 | Brayden Johnson | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | Southern Utah | 5 | -2.9 | -0.4 |
| 3926 | Zeplin Kidd | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Southern Utah | 5 | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| 4003 | Langston Binns | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Southern Utah | 5 | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| 4061 | Mikhail Protsenko | F | 7-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -2.6 | -0.5 | |
| 4573 | Dylan Jones | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Southern Utah | 20 | -2.2 | -1.1 |
| 4747 | Lorenzo Abellar | G | 5-10 | 2 | Returning | Southern Utah | 10 | -3.6 | -0.9 |
| 4755 | Cale Barclay | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Southern Utah | 13 | -3.1 | -1.0 |
| 5109 | Zach Bell | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Southern Utah | 13 | -4.6 | -1.5 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 12 | at |  High Point #40 | -21.5 | 4% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | at |  Wake Forest #76 | -17.2 | 8% | |
| Thu Nov 19 | at |  Texas #20 | -24.4 | 2% | |
| Mon Nov 23 | N |  Arkansas State #134 | -6.3 | 31% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  Florida International #143 | -11.9 | 17% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Long Beach State #278 | -0.7 | 48% | |
| Thu Dec 03 | vs |  Idaho State #261 | conf | +1.2 | 54% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Weber State #233 | conf | +0.4 | 51% |
| Tue Dec 08 | at |  Washington #92 | -15.1 | 11% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  San José State #187 | -9.0 | 23% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Utah #72 | -18.4 | 7% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | at |  Eastern Washington #146 | conf | -8.5 | 25% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Idaho #251 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Northern Colorado #128 | conf | -3.9 | 38% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Portland State #186 | conf | -1.4 | 46% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at |  Utah Tech #275 | conf | -3.4 | 39% |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs |  Montana State #138 | conf | -3.1 | 40% |
| Mon Jan 25 | at |  Montana #222 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | Weber State #233 | conf | -5.6 | 33% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Idaho State #261 | conf | -3.6 | 39% |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | Idaho #251 | conf | +0.8 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Eastern Washington #146 | conf | -2.9 | 41% |
| Mon Feb 08 | at |  Northern Arizona #307 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Utah Tech #275 | conf | +1.7 | 55% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Portland State #186 | conf | -7.2 | 28% |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | Northern Colorado #128 | conf | -8.2 | 25% |
| Mon Feb 22 | at | Montana State #138 | conf | -8.4 | 25% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Northern Arizona #307 | conf | +2.9 | 59% |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | Montana #222 | conf | -0.2 | 49% |
Projected margin is from Southern Utah's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.