Teams › SoCon · Compare East Tennessee State with another team
East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #183 on offense and #172 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.6 to +7.1.
Why we have them here
East Tennessee State's preseason projection of -0.2 (No. 171 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -0.1, about the -0.1 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 112 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.7, about its neighbours' +0.5; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.2. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Maki Johnson (+1.7), Jordan McCullum (+1.1) and Tyran Mason (+1.0); the newcomer who matters most is Tyran Mason, a transfer from UT Arlington, at +1.0. Its 80% range, -7.6 to +7.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 55% · Transfer 23% · Other newcomer 13%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585 | Maki Johnson | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 24 | +2.8 | +1.7 |
| 835 | Tyran Mason | G | 6-6 | 2 | Transfer | UT Arlington | 21 | +1.9 | +1.0 |
| 851 | Jordan McCullum | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 23 | +1.8 | +1.1 |
| 1585 | Gabe Sisk | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 14 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2372 | Isaiah Sutherland | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 16 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
| 2619 | Maddox Huff | F | 6-3 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2648 | Brayden Crump | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 16 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| 2648 | Frederico Whitaker Jr. | G | 5-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.2 | -0.3 | |
| 2796 | Marqus Mitrovic Marion | F | 1 | Other newcomer | 9 | -1.3 | -0.3 | ||
| 2835 | Henry Sisemore | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 9 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 3506 | Joseph Carter | G | 6-1 | 1 | Returning | East Tennessee State | 8 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| 4570 | Jayden Cooper | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | South Alabama | 25 | -2.0 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Arizona State #52 | -14.4 | 12% | |
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  NC State #36 | -16.0 | 10% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | vs |  Campbell #224 | +7.5 | 73% | |
| Tue Nov 17 | at |  Marshall #247 | -3.4 | 39% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs |  Longwood #195 | +6.7 | 71% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | vs |  Charleston Southern #276 | +9.6 | 78% | |
| Sun Nov 29 | vs |  Morehead State #265 | +8.5 | 76% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | at |  VMI #350 | conf | +5.2 | 66% |
| Tue Dec 08 | vs |  Presbyterian #243 | +7.7 | 74% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | at |  Jacksonville State #203 | -3.6 | 38% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | vs |  Northern Kentucky #270 | +9.3 | 77% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | vs |  UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Tue Dec 22 | vs |  Furman #110 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Wed Dec 30 | at |  Mercer #231 | conf | -0.5 | 48% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Samford #190 | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs |  Western Carolina #152 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Wed Jan 13 | vs |  Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | +6.2 | 69% |
| Sat Jan 16 | at | UNC Greensboro #246 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Mon Jan 18 | at |  The Citadel #345 | conf | +5.0 | 66% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  Chattanooga #226 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at |  Wofford #306 | conf | +3.0 | 60% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | Mercer #231 | conf | +4.8 | 65% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | Furman #110 | conf | -5.0 | 34% |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | Chattanooga #226 | conf | -0.1 | 50% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | VMI #350 | conf | +10.5 | 80% |
| Wed Feb 10 | at | Tennessee Tech #280 | conf | +1.6 | 55% |
| Sat Feb 13 | vs | Wofford #306 | conf | +7.2 | 72% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Western Carolina #152 | conf | -3.2 | 40% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | The Citadel #345 | conf | +9.7 | 79% |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | Samford #190 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
Projected margin is from East Tennessee State's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.