Teams › WCC · Compare Pacific with another team
Pacific
Pacific returns 63% of last season's minutes and rates #172 on offense and #204 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -7.7 to +7.0.
Why we have them here
Pacific's preseason projection of -0.4 (No. 175 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +1.0, more than the -0.2 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 125 at the end of 2025-26) adds +0.5, about its neighbours' +0.3; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.2. It returns 63% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (64%). The projection leans most on Elias Ralph (+4.5), Adriel Nyorha (+0.3) and Jacob McFarland (+0.3); the newcomer who matters most is Adriel Nyorha, a transfer from South Florida, at +0.3. Its 80% range, -7.7 to +7.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 49% · Transfer 37% · Other newcomer 14%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 | Elias Ralph | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Pacific | 31 | +5.8 | +4.5 |
| 1127 | Jacob McFarland | C | 6-11 | 1 | Transfer | Houston | 7 | +1.8 | +0.3 |
| 1187 | Adriel Nyorha | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | South Florida | 12 | +1.1 | +0.3 |
| 1316 | Alexis Marmolejos | G | 6-2 | 2 | Returning | Pacific | 13 | +0.7 | +0.2 |
| 1653 | Ivan Matlekovic | C | 7-0 | 2 | Transfer | North Carolina | 5 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1770 | Connor Amundsen | G | 5-11 | 2 | Transfer | Dartmouth | 25 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| 1836 | Jaion Pitt | F | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Pacific | 19 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| 2347 | Noah Budu | F | 6-1 | 0 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.2 | -0.2 | |
| 2481 | Dominic Capriotti | F | 6-4 | 3 | Other newcomer | 5 | -1.4 | -0.2 | |
| 2531 | Eyal Harel | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Pacific | 6 | -1.4 | -0.2 |
| 2789 | Kris Keinys | F | 6-8 | 3 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2789 | Augustas Brazdeikis | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.6 | -0.2 | |
| 2830 | Kajus Kublickas | G | 6-2 | 3 | Returning | Pacific | 19 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| 2869 | Clayton Mpiana | F | 6-9 | 0 | Other newcomer | 6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | |
| 2888 | Emmanuel Manyuon | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Pacific | 5 | -1.8 | -0.2 |
| 2917 | Jaylen Thompson | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Stanford | 10 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| 2978 | Carlsheon Young | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Pacific | 5 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| 4320 | Gavin Ripp | F | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | San Diego | 14 | -2.3 | -0.8 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Bradley #194 | -5.5 | 33% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  Long Beach State #278 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Air Force #357 | +12.8 | 85% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | vs | Bradley #194 | +5.2 | 67% | |
| Wed Nov 25 | N |  Jacksonville State #203 | +0.9 | 53% | |
| Thu Nov 26 | N |  Omaha #274 | +3.1 | 60% | |
| Fri Nov 27 | N |  UC Davis #255 | +2.5 | 58% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Nevada #66 | -12.4 | 15% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Stanford #69 | -12.5 | 15% | |
| Sat Dec 12 | vs |  Utah Valley #112 | +1.8 | 56% | |
| Tue Dec 15 | at |  New Mexico State #137 | -6.5 | 30% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | vs |  Southern #235 | +6.8 | 71% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  Sacramento State #199 | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Tue Dec 29 | at |  Utah State #29 | -16.8 | 9% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Santa Clara #63 | conf | -5.4 | 33% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Portland #339 | conf | +3.6 | 62% |
| Tue Jan 12 | at |  Loyola Marymount #170 | conf | -2.8 | 41% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Seattle U #111 | conf | -1.3 | 46% |
| Wed Jan 20 | at |  Saint Mary's #60 | conf | -9.9 | 21% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Santa Clara #63 | conf | -9.8 | 21% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs |  Denver #240 | conf | +3.6 | 61% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  Pepperdine #249 | conf | +3.8 | 62% |
| Wed Feb 03 | vs |  San Diego #263 | conf | +4.4 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 06 | at |  San Francisco #189 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Wed Feb 10 | vs | Portland #339 | conf | +7.7 | 74% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Denver #240 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Saint Mary's #60 | conf | -5.3 | 33% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | San Francisco #189 | conf | +1.8 | 56% |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | San Diego #263 | conf | +1.0 | 53% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Pepperdine #249 | conf | +0.5 | 52% |
Projected margin is from Pacific's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.