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Utah Tech
Utah Tech returns 64% of last season's minutes and rates #220 on offense and #309 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -12.4 to +2.1.
Why we have them here
Utah Tech's preseason projection of -5.1 (No. 275 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -2.5, about the -2.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 193 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.1, about its neighbours' -0.9; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -2.8. It returns 64% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (65%). The projection leans most on Chance Trujillo (+1.1), Britton Berrett (+0.4) and Christian Gibson (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is Christian Gibson, a freshman, recruit No. 121, at +0.0. Its 80% range, -12.4 to +2.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 56% · Transfer 13% · Freshman 5% · Other newcomer 27%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 878 | Chance Trujillo | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Utah Tech | 26 | +1.6 | +1.1 |
| 1245 | Britton Berrett | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Utah Tech | 22 | +0.7 | +0.4 |
| 1591 | Christian Gibson | F | 6-5 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 9 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1950 | Boston Harker | G | 6-4 | 1 | Returning | Utah Tech | 10 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 2981 | Hunter Schenck | F | 6-2 | 2 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.5 | -0.3 | |
| 3108 | Marvel Allen | F | 6-4 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3137 | Aris Rodriguez | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3137 | Owen Mackay | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3137 | Petros Ragkos | F | 6-5 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |
| 3158 | Dallin Grant | F | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Utah Tech | 8 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 3437 | Kyle Lemke | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3437 | Jax Clark | F | 6-8 | 0 | Other newcomer | 8 | -1.9 | -0.4 | |
| 3565 | Madiba Owona | G | 6-4 | 2 | Returning | Utah Tech | 18 | -1.4 | -0.6 |
| 3756 | Mark Brown Jr. | G | 6-0 | 1 | Transfer | Valparaiso | 12 | -1.8 | -0.6 |
| 3765 | Tanner Davis | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Utah Tech | 21 | -1.4 | -0.7 |
| 4168 | Preston Vandermyde | G | 6-5 | 2 | Returning | Utah Tech | 7 | -3.0 | -0.5 |
| 4892 | Alex Dupre | G | 6-5 | 1 | Transfer | Portland State | 13 | -3.5 | -1.1 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at | -18.5 | 7% | ||
| Tue Nov 10 | at | -21.0 | 4% | ||
| Sat Nov 14 | at | -11.8 | 17% | ||
| Thu Nov 19 | at | -13.9 | 13% | ||
| Sun Nov 22 | N | +2.5 | 58% | ||
| Sat Nov 28 | at | -16.8 | 9% | ||
| Thu Dec 03 | vs | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs | conf | +2.0 | 56% | |
| Mon Dec 14 | vs | +4.5 | 64% | ||
| Fri Dec 18 | at | -6.7 | 29% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | at | -6.8 | 29% | ||
| Thu Dec 31 | at | conf | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | -7.5 | 27% | |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs | conf | -0.5 | 48% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | vs | conf | -2.9 | 41% | |
| Thu Jan 14 | at | conf | -1.4 | 46% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | +3.4 | 61% | |
| Mon Jan 18 | vs | conf | +0.6 | 52% | |
| Mon Jan 25 | at | conf | -7.5 | 27% | |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | conf | -2.7 | 41% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | at | conf | -4.7 | 35% | |
| Thu Feb 04 | vs | conf | -1.9 | 44% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | conf | +1.6 | 55% | |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | conf | +3.7 | 62% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -1.7 | 45% | |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | conf | -7.2 | 28% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -6.2 | 31% | |
| Mon Feb 22 | at | conf | -4.5 | 36% | |
| Mon Mar 01 | vs | conf | -2.2 | 43% |
Projected margin is from Utah Tech's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.