Roster Math

Teams › Am. East · Compare New Hampshire with another team

New Hampshire

New Hampshire returns 73% of last season's minutes and rates #346 on offense and #286 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -16.7 to -2.0.

-9.4
Rating · #335 of 365
-6.5
Offense · #346
-2.9
Defense · #286
-16.7 to -2.0
80% range
0%
Chance of top 25
0%
Chance of No. 1
12-19
Projected record · 7 to 18 wins
7-9
Projected in Am. East · 3 to 11 wins

Why we have them here

New Hampshire's preseason projection of -9.4 (No. 335 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -5.5, about the -5.6 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 329 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.3, about its neighbours' -2.1; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.9. It returns 73% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (74%). The projection leans most on Tyler Bike (+0.7), Drew McKenna (-0.2) and Giannos Xanthopoulos (-0.5); the newcomer who matters most is Drew McKenna, a transfer from Old Dominion, at -0.2. Its 80% range, -16.7 to -2.0, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.

Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.

Roster

Returning 73% · Transfer 8%

Tyler Bike+0.7
Drew McKenna-0.2
Giannos Xanthopoulos-0.5
Jon O'Neill-0.6
Nick Sanford-0.6
Antoni Siewruk-0.8
Myles Blackley-0.8
Dylan Saunders-0.8
Davide Poser-1.3
John Squire-1.4
R.J. Kennedy-1.9
RankPlayerPosHtD1 yrsGroupFromMPGRatingContrib.
1030Tyler BikeG5-101ReturningNew Hampshire24+1.2+0.7
2016Drew McKennaG6-72TransferOld Dominion16-0.4-0.2
3375Giannos XanthopoulosC6-101ReturningNew Hampshire12-1.5-0.5
4138Jon O'NeillF6-92ReturningNew Hampshire11-2.3-0.6
4541Nick SanfordG6-12ReturningNew Hampshire7-3.7-0.6
4682Davide PoserF6-43ReturningNew Hampshire25-2.1-1.3
4703Antoni SiewrukG6-92ReturningNew Hampshire8-3.8-0.8
4721Myles BlackleyG6-41ReturningNew Hampshire8-3.8-0.8
4741John SquireF6-83ReturningNew Hampshire25-2.2-1.4
4844Dylan SaundersF6-83ReturningNew Hampshire7-4.5-0.8
5137R.J. KennedyG6-11ReturningNew Hampshire19-4.0-1.9

A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.

Schedule

DateOpponentProj. marginWin prob.
Mon Nov 02atBrown #184-11.119%
Thu Nov 05atRider #351-3.140%
Sun Nov 08vsSacred Heart #272+2.658%
Sun Nov 15atBoston College #114-14.612%
Wed Nov 18atStonehill #354-3.140%
Sat Nov 21atNew Haven #326-5.034%
Tue Nov 24atSeton Hall #106-15.111%
Sun Nov 29atHoly Cross #352-2.941%
Wed Dec 02vsHarvard #123-2.841%
Sat Dec 05atBoston University #230-9.821%
Wed Dec 09atMarquette #47-22.93%
Sat Dec 12vsDartmouth #290+3.461%
Sun Dec 20vsManhattan #309+4.263%
Tue Dec 22vsFairfield #248+1.655%
Tue Dec 29atIowa State #9-28.8<1%
Sat Jan 02atUMass Lowell #287conf-5.533%
Thu Jan 07vsUMBC #180conf-3.639%
Sat Jan 09vsNJIT #347conf+3.862%
Thu Jan 14vsVermont #202conf-2.841%
Thu Jan 21atUAlbany #293conf-4.237%
Sat Jan 23atBinghamton #330conf-2.741%
Thu Jan 28vsBryant #327conf+1.956%
Sat Jan 30atMaine #318conf-2.841%
Thu Feb 04atVermont #202conf-7.727%
Sat Feb 06vsUMass Lowell #287conf+0.050%
Thu Feb 11atNJIT #347conf-0.648%
Sat Feb 13atUMBC #180conf-7.128%
Sat Feb 20vsMaine #318conf+1.655%
Thu Feb 25vsUAlbany #293conf+0.451%
Sat Feb 27vsBinghamton #330conf+2.057%
Tue Mar 02atBryant #327conf-3.639%

Projected margin is from New Hampshire's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.