Teams › SEC · Compare Georgia with another team

Georgia
Georgia returns 50% of last season's minutes and rates #30 on offense and #48 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: +7.5 to +22.1.
Why we have them here
Georgia's preseason projection of +14.8 (No. 32 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth +10.8, more than the +8.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 30 at the end of 2025-26) adds +3.0, about its neighbours' +2.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add +2.8. A stretch at the top of the scale adds +0.8, because a straight-line calibration shrinks elite teams. It returns 50% of last season's minutes, more than teams ranked near it (33%). The projection leans most on Blue Cain (+5.7), Marcus Millender (+4.5) and Kanon Catchings (+3.7); the newcomer who matters most is James Scott, a transfer from Ole Miss, at +2.3. Its 80% range, +7.5 to +22.1, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 50% · Transfer 37% · Freshman 9% · Other newcomer 4%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Blue Cain | G | 6-5 | 3 | Returning | Georgia | 27 | +8.4 | +5.7 |
| 95 | Marcus Millender | G | 5-11 | 3 | Returning | Georgia | 27 | +6.7 | +4.5 |
| 132 | Kanon Catchings | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Georgia | 23 | +6.4 | +3.7 |
| 332 | James Scott | F | 6-10 | 3 | Transfer | Ole Miss | 20 | +4.7 | +2.3 |
| 403 | Freddie Dilione V | G | 6-5 | 3 | Transfer | Penn State | 24 | +3.8 | +2.3 |
| 446 | Brady Dunlap | F | 6-7 | 3 | Transfer | Saint Louis | 17 | +4.2 | +1.8 |
| 931 | Kareem Stagg | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Georgia | 14 | +2.1 | +0.7 |
| 1006 | Andrew Osasuyi | C | 6-9 | 1 | Transfer | St. Bonaventure | 12 | +1.8 | +0.5 |
| 1697 | Brandon Klatsky | G | 6-4 | 3 | Returning | Georgia | 5 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
| 1750 | Markel Jennings | G | 5-11 | 1 | Returning | Georgia | 4 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
| 1761 | Kemauri Millender | G | 5-11 | 0 | Other newcomer | 2 | -0.3 | +0.0 | |
| 1821 | Hakeem Weems | C | 6-9 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 3 | -0.5 | +0.0 |
| 1925 | Freddie Dilione | G | 1 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| 2032 | David Ugonna Ike | F | 7-0 | 0 | Other newcomer | 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | |
| 2151 | Mading Kuany | F | 6-8 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 8 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| 2542 | Donovan Williams | G | 6-3 | 0 | Freshman | High school | 7 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | vs | +26.9 | 98% | ||
| Fri Nov 06 | vs | +20.0 | 95% | ||
| Mon Nov 09 | vs | +22.9 | 97% | ||
| Fri Nov 13 | at | -4.8 | 35% | ||
| Mon Nov 16 | vs | +20.1 | 95% | ||
| Fri Nov 20 | at | +4.2 | 63% | ||
| Thu Nov 26 | N | +1.3 | 54% | ||
| Fri Nov 27 | N | +4.4 | 64% | ||
| Tue Dec 01 | vs | +15.3 | 89% | ||
| Tue Dec 08 | N | -8.5 | 25% | ||
| Sun Dec 13 | vs | +24.7 | 98% | ||
| Wed Dec 16 | vs | +23.2 | 97% | ||
| Sun Dec 20 | vs | +29.2 | >99% | ||
| Tue Dec 29 | vs | +25.1 | 98% | ||
| Sat Jan 02 | at | conf | +1.0 | 53% | |
| Tue Jan 05 | vs | conf | +1.0 | 53% | |
| Sat Jan 09 | at | conf | -7.4 | 28% | |
| Tue Jan 12 | vs | conf | +3.5 | 61% | |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs | conf | +9.0 | 76% | |
| Tue Jan 19 | at | conf | -5.8 | 32% | |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs | conf | -8.3 | 25% | |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | conf | +4.7 | 65% | |
| Wed Feb 03 | at | conf | -8.3 | 25% | |
| Sat Feb 06 | at | conf | +3.2 | 60% | |
| Tue Feb 09 | vs | conf | +2.9 | 59% | |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | conf | -3.7 | 38% | |
| Tue Feb 16 | vs | conf | +1.2 | 54% | |
| Sat Feb 20 | at | conf | -16.1 | 10% | |
| Wed Feb 24 | at | conf | -4.0 | 37% | |
| Sat Feb 27 | vs | conf | +5.0 | 65% | |
| Wed Mar 03 | at | conf | -7.7 | 27% | |
| Sat Mar 06 | vs | conf | +10.5 | 80% |
Projected margin is from Georgia's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.