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Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M returns 76% of last season's minutes and rates #339 on offense and #315 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -17.4 to -2.8.
Why we have them here
Alabama A&M's preseason projection of -10.1 (No. 343 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.5, more than the -5.9 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 325 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.1, about its neighbours' -2.4; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -3.8. It returns 76% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (76%). The projection leans most on Kintavious Dozier (+1.1), Bilal Abdur-Rahman (+1.0) and PJ Eason (-0.2); the newcomer who matters most is Jayden Jackson, a newcomer from outside Division I, at -0.6. Its 80% range, -17.4 to -2.8, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 64% · Transfer 6% · Other newcomer 24%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 798 | Bilal Abdur-Rahman | G | 5-11 | 2 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 17 | +2.3 | +1.0 |
| 893 | Kintavious Dozier | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 29 | +1.5 | +1.1 |
| 2100 | PJ Eason | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 24 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 3985 | Jayden Jackson | F | 5-10 | 0 | Other newcomer | 11 | -2.1 | -0.6 | |
| 4430 | Stephaun Walker | F | 6-7 | 4 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.7 | -0.8 | |
| 4470 | Devin Brown | F | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.7 | -0.8 | |
| 4618 | Isaiah Ramey | G | 6-7 | 0 | Other newcomer | 12 | -2.9 | -0.9 | |
| 4630 | Jalen Carruth | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 11 | -3.1 | -0.8 |
| 4818 | Nate Johnson | G | 6-7 | 2 | Transfer | Detroit Mercy | 12 | -3.4 | -1.0 |
| 4852 | Tajden Davis | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 8 | -4.2 | -0.9 |
| 4860 | Angok Anyang | F | 6-9 | 2 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 10 | -3.8 | -1.0 |
| 5067 | James Flippin | F | 6-10 | 2 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 11 | -4.5 | -1.3 |
| 5079 | Gabe Kincy | G | 6-7 | 1 | Returning | Alabama A&M | 17 | -3.8 | -1.6 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 09 | at |  DePaul #97 | -15.9 | 10% | |
| Thu Nov 12 | vs |  West Florida #304 | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  Cleveland State #207 | +0.5 | 52% | |
| Fri Nov 20 | vs |  Lipscomb #118 | -3.0 | 41% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  North Alabama #332 | -5.9 | 31% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  Chattanooga #226 | -9.5 | 22% | |
| Mon Dec 07 | at |  Mississippi State #78 | -18.1 | 7% | |
| Sun Dec 13 | at |  Georgia #32 | -24.7 | 2% | |
| Sat Dec 19 | at |  Tennessee State #154 | -13.1 | 14% | |
| Tue Dec 22 | at |  NC State #36 | -22.5 | 3% | |
| Sat Jan 02 | vs |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | conf | +4.3 | 63% |
| Mon Jan 04 | vs |  Mississippi Valley State #365 | conf | +13.5 | 86% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Alcorn State #358 | conf | -0.5 | 49% |
| Mon Jan 11 | at |  Jackson State #355 | conf | -1.0 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 16 | vs |  Alabama State #340 | conf | +2.7 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Texas Southern #331 | conf | +2.2 | 57% |
| Mon Jan 25 | vs |  Prairie View A&M #341 | conf | +2.8 | 59% |
| Sat Jan 30 | at |  Florida A&M #336 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Mon Feb 01 | at |  Bethune-Cookman #220 | conf | -8.2 | 25% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs |  Southern #235 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Mon Feb 08 | vs |  Grambling #302 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Mississippi Valley State #365 | conf | +7.8 | 74% |
| Mon Feb 15 | at | Arkansas-Pine Bluff #349 | conf | -1.1 | 46% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | Bethune-Cookman #220 | conf | -2.3 | 43% |
| Thu Feb 18 | at | Florida A&M #336 | conf | -3.0 | 40% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Florida A&M #336 | conf | +2.6 | 58% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | Alabama State #340 | conf | -2.6 | 42% |
| Tue Mar 02 | at | Grambling #302 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Thu Mar 04 | at | Southern #235 | conf | -8.2 | 25% |
Projected margin is from Alabama A&M's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.