Teams › OVC · Compare Southern Indiana with another team
Southern Indiana
Southern Indiana returns 74% of last season's minutes and rates #315 on offense and #291 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.1 to -0.6.
Why we have them here
Southern Indiana's preseason projection of -7.9 (No. 315 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -4.3, about the -5.0 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 339 at the end of 2025-26) adds -2.5, about its neighbours' -1.8; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -1.3. It returns 74% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (72%). The projection leans most on Tolu Samuels (+0.8), Cardell Bailey (+0.3) and LA Hayes (+0.0); the newcomer who matters most is LA Hayes, a transfer from UTEP, at +0.0. Its 80% range, -15.1 to -0.6, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 74% · Transfer 22%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 988 | Tolu Samuels | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 25 | +1.3 | +0.8 |
| 1274 | Cardell Bailey | G | 6-6 | 2 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 22 | +0.6 | +0.3 |
| 1617 | LA Hayes | G | 6-5 | 3 | Transfer | UTEP | 13 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2666 | Ismail Habib | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 26 | -0.7 | -0.5 |
| 4077 | Cayden Gehlhausen | G | 6-8 | 2 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 4 | -3.8 | -0.4 |
| 4307 | Kaden Brown | G | 6-1 | 3 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 20 | -1.9 | -0.9 |
| 4612 | Ben Ezeagu | F | 6-7 | 2 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 7 | -4.0 | -0.7 |
| 4738 | Sheridan Sharp | G | 6-3 | 3 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 14 | -2.9 | -1.1 |
| 4813 | Alem Fejzic | G | 6-3 | 1 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 6 | -4.7 | -0.7 |
| 4833 | Afan Trnka | G | 6-2 | 2 | Transfer | UT Martin | 18 | -2.8 | -1.3 |
| 4933 | Donovan Hunter | F | 6-8 | 3 | Transfer | Bellarmine | 12 | -3.8 | -1.1 |
| 4955 | Josiah Dunham | G | 6-0 | 2 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 15 | -3.4 | -1.3 |
| 4978 | Devin Curtis | F | 6-11 | 3 | Returning | Southern Indiana | 9 | -4.6 | -1.0 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Nov 02 | at |  Belmont #94 | -15.3 | 11% | |
| Sat Nov 07 | at |  Evansville #317 | -6.2 | 31% | |
| Wed Nov 11 | at |  IU Indianapolis #279 | -8.0 | 26% | |
| Sun Nov 15 | vs |  Western Michigan #151 | -1.5 | 45% | |
| Sun Nov 22 | at |  Texas #20 | -24.7 | 2% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | at |  VMI #350 | -3.0 | 40% | |
| Sat Nov 28 | vs |  Ball State #153 | -1.3 | 46% | |
| Tue Dec 01 | at |  West Georgia #295 | -6.0 | 31% | |
| Sun Dec 06 | at |  Indiana State #116 | -14.3 | 12% | |
| Wed Dec 16 | vs |  Bellarmine #305 | +3.9 | 62% | |
| Fri Dec 18 | at |  Vanderbilt #26 | -23.3 | 3% | |
| Mon Dec 21 | vs |  Wright State #165 | -0.9 | 47% | |
| Thu Dec 31 | vs |  Tennessee State #154 | conf | -4.7 | 35% |
| Sat Jan 02 | at |  Southeast Missouri State #219 | conf | -6.3 | 30% |
| Thu Jan 07 | vs |  Lindenwood #258 | conf | -1.1 | 47% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  UT Martin #271 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Wed Jan 13 | at |  Morehead State #265 | conf | -4.8 | 35% |
| Thu Jan 21 | vs |  SIU Edwardsville #234 | conf | -1.5 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 23 | vs |  Western Illinois #362 | conf | +7.3 | 72% |
| Thu Jan 28 | at | Tennessee State #154 | conf | -8.7 | 24% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs | Morehead State #265 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at |  Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | -1.9 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 06 | vs | Southeast Missouri State #219 | conf | -2.4 | 42% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | Lindenwood #258 | conf | -5.2 | 34% |
| Thu Feb 18 | vs | UT Martin #271 | conf | -0.4 | 49% |
| Sat Feb 20 | vs | Eastern Illinois #324 | conf | +2.0 | 56% |
| Thu Feb 25 | at | Western Illinois #362 | conf | +4.3 | 64% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at | SIU Edwardsville #234 | conf | -5.9 | 32% |
Projected margin is from Southern Indiana's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.