Teams › Horizon · Compare Detroit Mercy with another team
Detroit Mercy
Detroit Mercy returns 67% of last season's minutes and rates #276 on offense and #330 on defense of 365 teams. 80% range: -15.1 to -0.3.
Why we have them here
Detroit Mercy's preseason projection of -7.7 (No. 312 of 365) starts from the roster: its players' ratings, weighted by projected minutes, add up to a roll-up worth -3.1, more than the -4.8 typical of teams ranked near it. Last season's rating (No. 228 at the end of 2025-26) adds -0.5, more than its neighbours' -1.7; the program's level two and three seasons back and the roster's experience and shape add -4.5. It returns 67% of last season's minutes, about the same as teams ranked near it (71%). The projection leans most on Tyler Spratt (+1.9), Je'kel Cotton (-0.2) and Ayden Carter (-0.2). Its 80% range, -15.1 to -0.3, is about as wide as that of teams ranked near it.
Generated from the published projection's own terms, not written by hand. "Teams ranked near it" are the thirty nearest in the preseason order. Preseason projection frozen 2026-10-23; how the projection is built.
Roster
Returning 67%
| Rank | Player | Pos | Ht | D1 yrs | Group | From | MPG | Rating | Contrib. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 | Tyler Spratt | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 26 | +2.9 | +1.9 |
| 2032 | Je'kel Cotton | G | 6-6 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 14 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2095 | Ayden Carter | G | 6-5 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 21 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2811 | Lance Stone | G | 5-8 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 22 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| 3442 | Zak Abdalla | G | 6-2 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 9 | -1.8 | -0.4 |
| 4675 | Xavier Istomin-Monroe | C | 7-1 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 12 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| 4801 | London Maiden | F | 6-8 | 1 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 18 | -2.8 | -1.2 |
| 4925 | Jared Lary | G | 6-6 | 3 | Returning | Detroit Mercy | 13 | -3.6 | -1.2 |
A player's rating is points per 100 possessions better than an average Division I player while he is on the floor. Contribution weights it by the share of a rotation slot he is projected to play, so a star on the bench and a role player who never sits both read right. Rank is among all 5,249 rated players. MPG is the projected share of a rotation slot times 40. "From" is last season's team. The bars are contribution, the player's rating times his projected share; their sum is the roll-up the projection starts from.
Schedule
| Date | Opponent | Proj. margin | Win prob. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 06 | at |  Marquette #47 | -21.6 | 4% | |
| Tue Nov 10 | at |  Xavier #57 | -20.0 | 5% | |
| Sat Nov 14 | vs |  Toledo #173 | +0.1 | 50% | |
| Wed Nov 18 | at |  Eastern Michigan #244 | -7.9 | 26% | |
| Sat Nov 21 | at |  Michigan State #6 | -27.4 | 1% | |
| Tue Nov 24 | N |  North Dakota #310 | -0.1 | 50% | |
| Wed Dec 02 | at |  Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | -6.7 | 29% |
| Sat Dec 05 | vs |  Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | +0.3 | 51% |
| Mon Dec 21 | at |  Michigan #11 | -27.0 | 2% | |
| Wed Dec 30 | vs |  Milwaukee #242 | conf | -0.7 | 48% |
| Sun Jan 03 | vs |  Green Bay #281 | conf | +0.7 | 52% |
| Wed Jan 06 | at |  Robert Morris #113 | conf | -10.1 | 21% |
| Sat Jan 09 | at |  Youngstown State #215 | conf | -6.3 | 30% |
| Thu Jan 14 | vs |  Northern Illinois #333 | conf | +3.2 | 60% |
| Sun Jan 17 | at |  Oakland #159 | conf | -8.1 | 26% |
| Thu Jan 21 | at |  Wright State #165 | conf | -7.9 | 26% |
| Sat Jan 23 | at | Northern Kentucky #270 | conf | -4.6 | 36% |
| Wed Jan 27 | vs | Youngstown State #215 | conf | -1.6 | 45% |
| Sat Jan 30 | vs |  IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | +0.6 | 52% |
| Thu Feb 04 | at | Green Bay #281 | conf | -3.8 | 38% |
| Sun Feb 07 | vs | Wright State #165 | conf | -3.3 | 40% |
| Thu Feb 11 | vs | Robert Morris #113 | conf | -5.6 | 32% |
| Sat Feb 13 | at | IU Indianapolis #279 | conf | -4.5 | 36% |
| Wed Feb 17 | at | Northern Illinois #333 | conf | -0.8 | 47% |
| Sun Feb 21 | vs | Oakland #159 | conf | -3.7 | 38% |
| Wed Feb 24 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne #212 | conf | -1.7 | 44% |
| Sat Feb 27 | at |  Cleveland State #207 | conf | -6.8 | 29% |
Projected margin is from Detroit Mercy's side, with home court where the game is not neutral (N). Games are the schedule as posted; tournaments and late additions appear as they are listed. Predictions are as of 2026-10-26 and reflect the roster as the model has it on that date.